24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market: November 2010

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

What is Forex?

If you would go out on a dinner with your friends or family and you mentioned that you were trading on the Forex market most of them wouldn’t know what you were talking about. The worst thing is that most of the Forex traders that join the Forex market don’t know what they are doing. Understanding what Forex is, is the first good step to your success at Forex trading.

The foreign exchange market (Currency, Forex, or FX) is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. Forex transactions typically involve one party purchasing a quantity of one currency in exchange for paying a quantity of another. The foreign exchange market that we see today started evolving during the 1970s when world over countries gradually switched to floating exchange rate from their erstwhile exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system till 1971.

Today, the Forex market is one of the largest and most liquid financial markets in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, corporations, governments, and other institutions. The average daily volume in the global foreign exchange and related markets is continuously growing. Traditional daily turnover was reported to be over US$3.2 trillion in April 2007 by the Bank for International Settlements. Since then, the market has continued to grow. According to Euromoney's annual Forex Poll, volumes grew a further 41% between 2007 and 2008.

Dollar Declines to 5-Month Low Against the EUR

The US dollar traded near a five-month low versus the EUR before a U.S. report today that may show existing home sales are close to a 10-year low, adding to signs the world's largest economy is struggling to recover.

EUR to Benefit from American and Japanese Bank Moves?

With rising fears about additional monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, speculators have begun to exit many of their USD positions in favor of higher yielding assets. Bank intervention in Japan also has many investors weary of entering yen positions in the near future, but poor fundamentals out of Europe have traders just as concerned about their investments in the euro zone, but have the added benefit of less government tinkering. The EUR's best bet for the moment could be to lie low and reap the benefits of a rapidly dropping USD and JPY.

Forex Weekly Trading Forecast - 09.27.10

US Dollar at Risk of Declines as Fed Hints at Fresh Quantitative Easing

Fundamental Outlook for US Dollar: Bullish

- US Federal Reserve hints at further Quantitative Easing, Sinks US Dollar
- Home Sales data remains near record-lows, bodes poorly for economic outlook
- Positioning and signs of reversal nonetheless warn of potential US Dollar recovery

The US Dollar finished sharply lower against all major forex counterparts on a week of mediocre economic data and a noteworthy shift in rhetoric from the US Federal Reserve. The highly-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate announcement and statement forced sharp moves across financial markets. Officials strongly suggested that they stood ready to restart Quantitative Easing (QE) measures if the need presented itself, and an especially dovish tone on inflation implied that such a move could come sooner than later. Given that the US Dollar fell precipitously on the first wave of QE, the prospect of QE Part 2 could spark continued USD weakness against major counterparts.

Market focus on the Fed’s next moves will make US economic data especially market moving, and a relatively busy calendar in the week ahead could bring sharp US Dollar volatility. Second revisions to Q2 Gross Domestic Product data may be the highlight of the coming days of trading, but traders should likewise watch for surprises out of earlier-week Consumer Confidence figures and end-of-week ISM Manufacturing data.

What is Forex?

Forex stands for Foreign Exchange Market. Where you buy 1 currency over the other (exchange). Its a business, no matter what people say. It involve buying and selling like any other business only difference is the medium is currency.

How to trade Forex?
The idea behind forex trading is to make profit from the difference in prices. Simply put, buy when the price is low and sell it when the price is high. Its just like the item you buy in stores, the store keeper is selling it at a higher price to make profit except in Forex you can sell first at high price and buy back later when the price is low.

When to buy and when to sell?
Logically you will sell when the price is going down and you will buy when the price is going up. It is simple but in practice this is what killing most traders. Something so simple can be so complicated.

How to know when the price is going down/up?
The price is going down when it no longer making new high. The price is going up when it no longer making new low.

Final advice
Forex is a human activity. It involve buying and selling. Because it is a human activity, it is not predictable. You cannot predict when is the time you need to go to toilet or when you are going to cut your hair. It is all based on situation. Prediction is an over statement of intelligence in Forex. You dont need it.

Fortunately not everything is unpredictable. By nature human tends to follow what other people are doing. In Forex there is something called the Trend. It happen when lots of people are doing the same thing at the same time (follow??). when more and more people are buying, you buy. When more and more people are selling you sell.

Dont get greedy. Put a reasonable target for each trade and get out once you get your target. There will always be another trade tomorrow and you dont have to trade everyday to make profit. Btw, last week I only trade once.

Good luck to all you traders. For the new blood, take your time. Give it 2 years before you can understand it and go for the kill.

FOREX IS AN ART

When you say trading, people will say trading is an art. Look at all the books that has been published on the subject. They will say the art of trading forex.

In that sense, we must take forex as an art and not a science. I know, some people may not agree with me and all the post that is in this blog. I don't blame them coz I was actually in the same place as they were when I started trading. Trying to find the answer to forex using every logical explanation.

This is the answer that you have been looking for. I am going to give it to you straight away. Let see if your mind can accept it.

Human tends to over-complicate things. It is in our nature to try and improve what we have but most of the time we overcomplicated things and forget about the simple solution.

In my previous post, I posted a chart of a basic system. It consist of candle stick chart, moving average and macd. Only 3 indicators and it is a very simple system rite?

Today marks the end of 4th year I am in Forex and I am still here. Most of the friends that I know trade has already stop. It must mean something to stay here for so long when most people quit. Its either I am really stubborn or I am not losing money. Which one you think?

After looking at charts for over 1 year now, I have made a conclusion on how the market move. It may differ from other people point of view but at least this is how I made profit or loss in Forex Market.

The Market generally move once or the most twice a day. That is how much Forex market move. There is no point on being stuck in front of the pc the whole day since it will only move once. If you dont belive me look at any pair in timeframe 1 hour or less. Forex doesnt move in straight line but it has a tendency of moving to a particular direction in a zig zag motion.

This picture is a chart of GJ where you can see my entry, SL and TP. It was taken right after I enter the market. I opened 2 post there.

In my 1 year of trading forex I have learnt a lot about forex. There are some qualities that is needed in a traders. From my experience these are some of them:

1. No Ego
Ego is when you dont want to admit that you have made a mistake. In forex, mistakes are common. It is very hard to forecast something that has a lot of factors involve. If you have made a mistake, admit it and turn your position if you see fit. If you dont want to admit your mistakes, you will end up broke

In the land of forex, trend is king. Also here accuracy is a luxury. During early days of trading, some people can see the trade based on their signal but finding the best entry is a bit difficult.

Time and time again I have noticed that Marketiva is playing the stop loss hunting game. I have 2 exact trade on Marketiva and Northfinance and Marketiva will always hit Stop Loss. One would expect the difference of spread would be the factor here but consider this. Marketiva will always show difference in price between 2-5 pips compared to North Finance and considering the difference in spread is only 1 pip its ..... better let u people decide. Anyway my trade in Marketiva is small. Just playing it for the egold.

This is going to be short and simple. The best system is the simplest. Take any of your best indicators, apply them to daily chart. Look for the trend.

Take the same indicators apply them to hourly chart. Based on the daily trend look for entry.

Everyone must start from scratch in Forex. Some people may have the advantage in certain way but we are all equal in the land of forex.

In the beginning, most of you will try out different system and indicators. This is the process of learning. Some people may have up to 20 indicators on screen but in the end those indicators will be cut down to maybe just 3-5.

Its been a while since I posted signal. Anyway here it is. Hope its good.

1. Short Aud/Usd @ 0.7905 or better. Target 0.7850, 0.7780.

2. Long Usd/Jpy @ 114.80 or better. Target 115.60, 116.70.

In The Land Of Forex

In The Land Of Forex, Trend Is King

Those are the words i hold on to in forex. No matter what happen in technical or fundamental study. Always follow the trend. Trend is king. Follow the king and you will be rewarded handsomely.

Eur/Usd

Eur/Usd is currently at 1.2862. From my calculation Eur/Usd has an upper range of 1.2880 - 1.2950. Possible trade is short Eur/Usd @ 1.2880 or better.

Gbp/Usd
Gbp/Usd is currently at 1.9102. As stated in my other blog, possible trade is short Gbp/Usd @ 1.9100 or better wih upper range of 1.9100 -1.9150

Aud/Usd
Possible trade short Aud/Usd @ 0.7710 or better. Already gone down now. Btw i shorted from 0.7751. Its a good trade so far.

Forex Trade Review

Last Friday, Non-Farm Payrolls is out. This is like fuel for Usd and it effect all pair especially eur/usd and gbp/usd. Last friday the report came out a mixed bag. People are confused and the price swing up and down. I was on the losing side of the trade but because of the swing at certain point I was 30 pips up but because Marketiva usually lock out during news hour, I finally end up at a lost. Well its forex anyway. If you dont lose in forex you dont feel the thrill.

USD/CAD

usd/cad is currently at 1.1270 with a high of 1.1305. Looking at the chart, it has lost its momentum eventhough the uptrend is still intact. It may hover around 1.1240 - 1.1310 for a while.
Possible Trade:
Short usd/cad @ 1.1300 or better.
Target: 1.1180, 1.11201, 1.1080.

555 Forex Trading System

FOREX TRADING SYSTEM

This forex trading system is part of my full forex trading system. I post it just to help out new traders to develop their own trading system. This forex system can be use on all pairs. It is far from perfect but can give you an idea how to trade and develop your own forex trading system. Maybe in the future if you manage to improve this system you may want to share with me. Anyway here it goes.

Everybody likes free things. So do I but I like to give free things as well. In the future I will post Free Forex Signal in this blog. Before anyone trade on those free forex signal, I would like to warn you that I will not take responsibility on any profit or lost by using my free forex signal.

Read some very interesting review on marketiva. It seems that some people classified Marketiva as scam. I dont mind since im still using their $5. To me marketiva is a learning platform. Btw one review for you to read:

"I would not trust any company with no background info. I had asked to see who or what is behind the company before depositing funds. No response. I believe there is some type of long term scam here. Something is not right compared to other brokers.

When doing technical analysis on forex. There are 3 factors that need to be properly recognise and use. They are trend, momentum and timing.

Trend
Trend is the tendency of movement to a particular direction. When it is uptrend, the price will move up and vice versa.

Momentum.
Momentum is the strength of movement. The stronger the momentum the stronger the move. When the momentum is finished, it will reverse.

The most common increment of currencies is the Pip. If the EUR/USD moves from 1.2250 to 1.2251, that is ONE PIP. A pip is the last decimal place of a quotation. The Pip is how you measure your profit or loss.

As each currency has its own value, it is necessary to calculate the value of a pip for that particular currency. In currencies where the US Dollar is quoted first, the calculation would be as follows.

How To Make Money Trading Forex

In the foreign exchange market, you buy or sell currencies. Placing a trade in the foreign exchange market is simple: the mechanics of a trade are very similar to those found in other markets (like the stock market), so if you have any experience in trading, you should be able to pick it up pretty quickly.

The object of forex trading is to exchange one currency for another in the expectation that the price will change so that the currency you bought will increase in value compared to the one you sold.

Welcome To The World Of Forex

Foreign Exchange (FOREX) is the arena where a nation's currency is exchanged for that of another. The foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with the equivalent of over $1.9 trillion changing hands daily; more than three times the aggregate amount of the US Equity and Treasury markets combined. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location and no central exchange. It operates through a global network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another. The lack of a physical exchange enables the Forex market to operate on a 24-hour basis, spanning from one zone to another in all the major financial centers.